Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 20:00
11.3769.4%
X5.1218.6%
27.8912.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WWDLLDDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Brest
LDDLLWDDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.00
Against
7.70
8.80
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
3.70
Total goals
1.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

2.20goals per match
Brest conceded1.20
Matchup

Brest attack

0.70goals per match
Marseille conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
7.70
8.80
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.30
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
21.80
Match total
28.30

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.40
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.4%78.8%+9.4 pp
Draw18.6%11.5%-7.1 pp
Away12.0%9.7%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

2.630.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.7%
3-012.4%
2-010.6%
1-07.1%
4-16.2%

Comparable corner averages

7.093.44
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%34.7%–73.1% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away36.4%