Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 20:00
11.3769.4%
X5.1218.6%
27.8912.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Marseille
WWDLLDDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Brest
LDDLLWDDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.00
Against
7.70
8.80
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
3.70
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Marseille attack
2.20goals per matchBrest conceded1.20Matchup
Brest attack
0.70goals per matchMarseille conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
7.70
8.80
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.30
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
21.80
Match total
28.30
Shots
18.00N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.40
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.4%78.8%+9.4 pp
Draw18.6%11.5%-7.1 pp
Away12.0%9.7%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS54.9%
Historical average
2.63–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-117.7%
3-012.4%
2-010.6%
1-07.1%
4-16.2%
Comparable corner averages
7.09–3.44
Average total10.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.538.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%34.7%–73.1% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away36.4%