Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 20:00
11.4466.0%
X4.7120.2%
26.8713.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
DWDWWDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Nantes
DWDWLLDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.10
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
8.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
2.30goals per matchNantes conceded1.20Matchup
Nantes attack
1.00goals per matchLille conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.10
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.80
Match total
2.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.10
Match total
23.50
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.50
On target
4.10
15%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches180
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.0%73.3%+7.3 pp
Draw20.2%18.3%-1.8 pp
Away13.8%8.3%-5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS52.2%
Historical average
2.30–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.0%
2-011.7%
1-010.6%
3-110.6%
2-27.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.49–3.42
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.0%49.6%–74.6% CI
Draw FT25.9%16.1%–38.9% CI
Away FT11.1%5.2%–22.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.02
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals35.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.8%
Away38.9%