Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 20:00
11.1384.6%
X8.5011.2%
222.724.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWLWDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Ajaccio
LLWLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
3.00
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Against
4.60
9.70
Total
6.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
3.00
2.70
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lens attack

2.00goals per match
Ajaccio conceded3.00
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.50goals per match
Lens conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.60
9.70
Match total
6.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
27.60
Match total
26.80

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
5.80N=10
4.90
On target
1.80
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.6%90.0%+5.4 pp
Draw11.2%0.0%-11.2 pp
Away4.2%10.0%+5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS20.0%

Historical average

2.900.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-030.0%
2-020.0%
6-010.0%
2-110.0%
1-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.102.00
Average total8.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.530.0%
Over 9.520.0%
Over 10.50.0%
Over 11.50.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT87.5%64.0%–96.5% CI
Draw FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.5%
Away6.3%