Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 20:00
11.1384.6%
X8.5011.2%
222.724.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lens
WWLWDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Ajaccio
LLWLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
3.00
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Against
4.60
9.70
Total
6.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
3.00
2.70
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lens attack
2.00goals per matchAjaccio conceded3.00Matchup
Ajaccio attack
0.50goals per matchLens conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.60
9.70
Match total
6.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
27.60
Match total
26.80
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
5.80N=10
4.90
On target
1.80
17%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.6%90.0%+5.4 pp
Draw11.2%0.0%-11.2 pp
Away4.2%10.0%+5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS20.0%
Historical average
2.90–0.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-030.0%
2-020.0%
6-010.0%
2-110.0%
1-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.10–2.00
Average total8.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.530.0%
Over 9.520.0%
Over 10.50.0%
Over 11.50.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT87.5%64.0%–96.5% CI
Draw FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.69
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home87.5%
Away6.3%