Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 20:00
12.1544.3%
X3.4527.6%
23.3928.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Clermont
WDLLDLWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lorient
WLLLDDLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.10
Against
6.40
8.30
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Clermont attack
1.00goals per matchLorient conceded1.80Matchup
Lorient attack
1.20goals per matchClermont conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.40
8.30
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.20
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
29.70
Match total
25.80
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.10
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches608
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%45.1%+0.8 pp
Draw27.6%28.6%+1.0 pp
Away28.1%26.3%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS54.4%
Historical average
1.52–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
1-011.5%
2-19.0%
0-17.4%
0-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–4.29
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=608.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.528.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.9%28.5%–41.9% CI
Draw FT38.0%31.5%–45.1% CI
Away FT27.1%21.3%–33.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.8%
Away49.0%