Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 16:05
15.3517.8%
X4.2522.5%
21.6059.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
LDWDWLWDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lens
DDDDLDWWLW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.70
Against
4.60
8.70
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.10goals per match
Lens conceded1.00
Matchup

Lens attack

1.30goals per match
Lorient conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.60
8.70
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
26.00
Match total
23.00

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
4.10
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.8%10.0%-7.8 pp
Draw22.5%26.7%+4.2 pp
Away59.7%63.3%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS58.9%

Historical average

0.872.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-212.2%
0-111.1%
0-28.9%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.145.82
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%2.0%–22.6% CI
Draw FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.6%35.8%–70.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away71.4%