Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 14:00
15.5317.3%
X4.3022.2%
21.5860.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Troyes
DLDLLDDLLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Strasbourg
LWLLDDLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.40
1.70
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.80
Against
6.40
10.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Troyes attack

0.70goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.70
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.40goals per match
Troyes conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.40
10.80
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.60
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
20.30
Match total
28.80

Shots

8.20N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.10
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches106
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.3%8.5%-8.8 pp
Draw22.2%27.4%+5.1 pp
Away60.5%64.2%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

0.842.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.2%
1-112.3%
0-112.3%
0-211.3%
2-29.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.165.86
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=106.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.5%1.8%–20.7% CI
Draw FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Away FT54.8%37.8%–70.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals6.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home29.0%
Away74.2%