Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 14:00
11.8850.8%
X3.8424.8%
23.9124.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
DWWWDDDLLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Toulouse
LWWLLWLWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
4.20
10.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.50goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.60
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.50goals per match
Nice conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.20
10.20
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.30
Match total
3.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
22.80
Match total
25.50

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.70
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches236
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.8%52.1%+1.4 pp
Draw24.8%25.4%+0.6 pp
Away24.4%22.5%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.771.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
2-19.7%
2-08.9%
1-08.5%
3-16.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.714.35
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=236.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%28.5%–51.5% CI
Draw FT43.9%32.6%–55.9% CI
Away FT16.7%9.6%–27.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away47.0%