Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 20:00
12.4439.1%
X3.6226.3%
22.7634.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WDWDWWDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Marseille
WWWWWWWDWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.90N=10
2.30
Against
4.50
8.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.70
3.00
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lille attack

2.20goals per match
Marseille conceded0.70
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.70goals per match
Lille conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
2.30
Corners against
4.50
8.70
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.70
Match total
25.70

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
6.60
On target
5.00
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%35.7%-3.4 pp
Draw26.3%27.1%+0.8 pp
Away34.6%37.1%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.9%
BTTS61.4%

Historical average

1.471.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.1%
1-110.7%
0-19.3%
2-27.9%
2-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.91
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=140.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Draw FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI
Away FT28.9%17.0%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away52.6%