Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 16:00
12.1744.0%
X3.5327.1%
23.3028.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
WDLWLDLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Montpellier
WLWLWWDLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.90
Against
3.50
11.60
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.80goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.60
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.70goals per match
Nantes conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.50
11.60
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
25.50
Match total
28.00

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.80
On target
4.10
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches504
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%46.0%+2.0 pp
Draw27.1%28.4%+1.3 pp
Away28.9%25.6%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.571.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-010.3%
2-19.1%
2-08.1%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.25
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=504.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches146
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.6%28.3%–43.7% CI
Draw FT37.7%30.2%–45.8% CI
Away FT26.7%20.2%–34.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.8%
Away50.7%