Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 19:45
11.1980.2%
X7.2513.2%
214.356.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WWWDLLDDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Angers
LLLLDLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.40
1.40
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.90
1.90
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.40
Against
4.90
9.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.40
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
3.40
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

2.00goals per match
Angers conceded2.40
Matchup

Angers attack

0.40goals per match
Marseille conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
0%0/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.90
9.10
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.10
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
21.40
Match total
26.20

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
5.00
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.2%82.6%+2.4 pp
Draw13.2%12.8%-0.4 pp
Away6.6%4.7%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.541.9%
BTTS45.3%

Historical average

2.760.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-018.6%
1-010.5%
3-19.3%
1-18.1%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.872.69
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.9%
Over 9.562.4%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals60.9%
3+ goals39.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.6%
Away43.5%