Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 19:45
11.1980.2%
X7.2513.2%
214.356.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Marseille
WWWDLLDDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Angers
LLLLDLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.40
1.40
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.90
1.90
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.40
Against
4.90
9.10
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.40
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
3.40
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Marseille attack
2.00goals per matchAngers conceded2.40Matchup
Angers attack
0.40goals per matchMarseille conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.90
9.10
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.10
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
21.40
Match total
26.20
Shots
17.20N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
5.00
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.2%82.6%+2.4 pp
Draw13.2%12.8%-0.4 pp
Away6.6%4.7%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.541.9%
BTTS45.3%
Historical average
2.76–0.65
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-018.6%
1-010.5%
3-19.3%
1-18.1%
2-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.87–2.69
Average total10.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.9%
Over 9.562.4%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.534.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Remaining goals
2.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals60.9%
3+ goals39.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home82.6%
Away43.5%