Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 16:05
12.7534.8%
X3.7125.8%
22.4239.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
LWWWWLLWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Lille
WDLWLDWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.30
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
8.30
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.00
4.20
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.30goals per match
Lille conceded1.00
Matchup

Lille attack

1.20goals per match
Monaco conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
8.30
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.70
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
24.90
Match total
26.20

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.90
On target
5.40
18%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%43.8%+9.1 pp
Draw25.8%21.3%-4.4 pp
Away39.5%34.8%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS61.8%

Historical average

1.601.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
2-111.2%
2-07.9%
0-36.7%
1-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.045.07
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away50.0%