Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 16:05
12.7534.8%
X3.7125.8%
22.4239.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monaco
LWWWWLLWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Lille
WDLWLDWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.30
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
8.30
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.00
4.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monaco attack
2.30goals per matchLille conceded1.00Matchup
Lille attack
1.20goals per matchMonaco conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
8.30
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.70
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
24.90
Match total
26.20
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.90
On target
5.40
18%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%43.8%+9.1 pp
Draw25.8%21.3%-4.4 pp
Away39.5%34.8%-4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS61.8%
Historical average
1.60–1.48
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
2-111.2%
2-07.9%
0-36.7%
1-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.04–5.07
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.532.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.68
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away50.0%