Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 14:00
12.1045.4%
X3.6426.2%
23.3528.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
LWDWWLLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Nantes
LDWDWLLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.80
Against
4.40
11.20
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.30goals per match
Nantes conceded1.30
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.40
11.20
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.30
Match total
2.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
22.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.70
On target
4.50
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches230
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%45.7%+0.3 pp
Draw26.2%33.5%+7.3 pp
Away28.4%20.9%-7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.621.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
2-110.0%
1-010.0%
2-07.8%
2-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.30
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=230.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.6%26.4%–48.2% CI
Draw FT46.5%35.4%–58.0% CI
Away FT16.9%9.9%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals50.7%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.2%
Away50.7%