Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 14:00
11.8551.5%
X3.8125.0%
24.0623.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
DLLLWDWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lorient
DWLLLDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.60goals per matchLorient conceded1.80Matchup
Lorient attack
1.20goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
10.00
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
27.90
Match total
24.10
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.40
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches211
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.5%50.7%-0.8 pp
Draw25.0%26.1%+1.1 pp
Away23.5%23.2%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS60.7%
Historical average
1.81–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
3-19.0%
1-08.1%
2-18.1%
0-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.95–4.40
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=211.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.537.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%24.5%–48.8% CI
Draw FT44.6%32.4%–57.6% CI
Away FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away50.0%