Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 14:00
11.8551.5%
X3.8125.0%
24.0623.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
DLLLWDWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lorient
DWLLLDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.60goals per match
Lorient conceded1.80
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.20goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
10.00
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
27.90
Match total
24.10

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.40
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches211
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.5%50.7%-0.8 pp
Draw25.0%26.1%+1.1 pp
Away23.5%23.2%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS60.7%

Historical average

1.811.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
3-19.0%
1-08.1%
2-18.1%
0-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.40
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=211.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.537.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%24.5%–48.8% CI
Draw FT44.6%32.4%–57.6% CI
Away FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away50.0%