Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 14:00
12.1244.9%
X3.2928.9%
23.6426.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brest
WLDWDLLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Auxerre
LLLLDWDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Against
6.80
9.40
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brest attack
1.70goals per matchAuxerre conceded1.60Matchup
Auxerre attack
0.90goals per matchBrest conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.80
9.40
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.50
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.40
Match total
23.60
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.90
On target
2.70
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches557
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%41.5%-3.4 pp
Draw28.9%33.0%+4.1 pp
Away26.2%25.5%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.33–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.0%
1-011.8%
0-010.4%
2-08.6%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–4.25
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=557.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches201
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.3%29.0%–42.1% CI
Draw FT44.3%37.6%–51.2% CI
Away FT20.4%15.4%–26.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals11.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.2%
Away41.3%