Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 14:00
12.1244.9%
X3.2928.9%
23.6426.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
WLDWDLLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Auxerre
LLLLDWDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Against
6.80
9.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.70goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.60
Matchup

Auxerre attack

0.90goals per match
Brest conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.80
9.40
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.50
Match total
2.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.40
Match total
23.60

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.90
On target
2.70
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches557
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%41.5%-3.4 pp
Draw28.9%33.0%+4.1 pp
Away26.2%25.5%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.331.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
1-011.8%
0-010.4%
2-08.6%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.25
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=557.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches201
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.3%29.0%–42.1% CI
Draw FT44.3%37.6%–51.2% CI
Away FT20.4%15.4%–26.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.2%
Away41.3%