Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 12:00
14.1522.9%
X3.9324.2%
21.8052.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Clermont
LWDLLDLWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lyon
WDWWLWDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.10
1.40
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.20
Against
5.40
8.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Clermont attack

0.80goals per match
Lyon conceded1.10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.10goals per match
Clermont conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.40
8.20
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.20
Match total
4.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
29.60
Match total
29.50

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.80
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
22%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.9%16.3%-6.6 pp
Draw24.2%19.4%-4.8 pp
Away52.9%64.3%+11.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.921.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.2%
0-310.2%
0-29.2%
1-19.2%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.475.71
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.559.2%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.9%–28.1% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Away FT55.6%37.3%–72.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals51.9%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home29.6%
Away66.7%