Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 20:00
11.1186.2%
X9.709.9%
224.114.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWDWWWLLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Ajaccio
DLLWLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
2.70
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Against
4.70
8.50
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
2.70
3.40
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

1.90goals per match
Ajaccio conceded2.70
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.70goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.70
8.50
Match total
7.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
21.50
Match total
28.80

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
6.40N=10
6.70
On target
2.00
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home86.2%85.7%-0.5 pp
Draw9.9%4.8%-5.1 pp
Away4.0%9.5%+5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.547.6%
BTTS38.1%

Historical average

2.620.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.0%
1-014.3%
4-09.5%
4-19.5%
5-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

9.142.05
Average total11.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.0%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.542.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away33.3%