Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-12 · 20:00
11.5262.8%
X4.5321.1%
25.9216.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lens
WWWLWDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Reims
DDWDDDWWLL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.90
Against
5.10
9.10
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
1.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lens attack
2.00goals per matchReims conceded0.70Matchup
Reims attack
0.80goals per matchLens conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.10
9.10
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
28.70
Match total
24.40
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.60
On target
4.30
16%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.8%64.6%+1.8 pp
Draw21.1%20.7%-0.3 pp
Away16.1%14.6%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS56.1%
Historical average
2.13–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.6%
2-111.6%
1-010.4%
2-08.5%
3-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.45–3.80
Average total10.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.9%34.5%–61.7% CI
Draw FT39.6%27.0%–53.7% CI
Away FT12.5%5.9%–24.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals52.1%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.1%
Away50.0%