Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 19:45
18.3711.4%
X5.8216.4%
21.3272.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Troyes
DDLDLLDDLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Paris SG
WWLLWLWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.70
Against
4.70
11.10
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Troyes attack
0.70goals per matchParis SG conceded1.10Matchup
Paris SG attack
1.90goals per matchTroyes conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.70
Corners against
4.70
11.10
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.70
Match total
1.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.20
Match total
21.50
Shots
9.60N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.40
On target
5.40
7%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.4%18.2%+6.8 pp
Draw16.4%15.2%-1.2 pp
Away72.2%66.7%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS72.7%
Historical average
1.36–2.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-215.2%
1-19.1%
0-29.1%
0-49.1%
1-36.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.76–5.82
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals31.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away68.8%