Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 19:45
18.3711.4%
X5.8216.4%
21.3272.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Troyes
DDLDLLDDLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Paris SG
WWLLWLWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.70
Against
4.70
11.10
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Troyes attack

0.70goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

1.90goals per match
Troyes conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.70
Corners against
4.70
11.10
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.70
Match total
1.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.20
Match total
21.50

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.40
On target
5.40
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.4%18.2%+6.8 pp
Draw16.4%15.2%-1.2 pp
Away72.2%66.7%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS72.7%

Historical average

1.362.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.2%
1-19.1%
0-29.1%
0-49.1%
1-36.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.765.82
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away68.8%