Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 16:05
11.6757.1%
X4.1922.8%
24.7320.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WDLLDWDDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Montpellier
DWLWLWWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.50
Against
3.70
10.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.00goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.20
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.40goals per match
Lyon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.70
10.20
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.40
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
25.40
Match total
28.50

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.40
On target
3.80
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%61.5%+4.4 pp
Draw22.8%19.6%-3.2 pp
Away20.2%18.9%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.539.9%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

2.061.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.5%
1-28.8%
3-18.8%
2-28.1%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.714.09
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Draw FT44.4%27.6%–62.7% CI
Away FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals29.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.4%
Away51.9%