Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 14:00
12.7834.3%
X3.3428.5%
22.5637.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nantes
DWDLWLDLDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Strasbourg
LLWLLDDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
2.10
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
11.90
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.40
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nantes attack
1.00goals per matchStrasbourg conceded2.10Matchup
Strasbourg attack
1.40goals per matchNantes conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
11.90
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
16.20N=10
25.10
Match total
28.60
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.80
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches590
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%32.0%-2.2 pp
Draw28.5%27.1%-1.4 pp
Away37.2%40.8%+3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.16–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
0-113.2%
1-08.6%
2-18.5%
1-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–4.88
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=590.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches188
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%20.8%–33.3% CI
Draw FT35.1%28.6%–42.2% CI
Away FT38.3%31.6%–45.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals14.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.6%
Away55.3%