Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 14:00
12.7834.3%
X3.3428.5%
22.5637.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
DWDLWLDLDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Strasbourg
LLWLLDDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
2.10
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
11.90
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.40
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Strasbourg conceded2.10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.40goals per match
Nantes conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
11.90
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
16.20N=10
25.10
Match total
28.60

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.80
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches590
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%32.0%-2.2 pp
Draw28.5%27.1%-1.4 pp
Away37.2%40.8%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.161.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
0-113.2%
1-08.6%
2-18.5%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.004.88
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=590.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches188
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%20.8%–33.3% CI
Draw FT35.1%28.6%–42.2% CI
Away FT38.3%31.6%–45.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.6%
Away55.3%