Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 14:00
12.3740.1%
X3.4127.9%
22.9732.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
LLDWDWLWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Brest
LLDDLLWDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.90
Against
7.50
9.00
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
1.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.00goals per match
Brest conceded1.10
Matchup

Brest attack

0.60goals per match
Lorient conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.50
9.00
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
24.40
Match total
26.50

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.00
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches549
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%41.5%+1.4 pp
Draw27.9%28.6%+0.7 pp
Away32.0%29.9%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.461.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
0-09.3%
2-19.1%
1-09.1%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.574.64
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=549.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches175
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.7%27.1%–41.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%34.7%–49.1% CI
Away FT24.6%18.8%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away43.4%