Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 20:00
12.3341.0%
X3.5227.1%
22.9931.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lens
WWWWLWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Marseille
WWWWWWWWDW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.90
0.60
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.00
Against
4.30
9.10
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.90
0.60
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lens attack
2.10goals per matchMarseille conceded0.70Matchup
Marseille attack
1.90goals per matchLens conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.30
9.10
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
28.40
Match total
25.50
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
5.10
On target
5.00
16%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches475
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%41.9%+0.9 pp
Draw27.1%27.8%+0.7 pp
Away31.9%30.3%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS56.8%
Historical average
1.50–1.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
2-19.5%
1-29.5%
2-09.1%
0-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.59–4.53
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=474.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%29.1%–45.5% CI
Draw FT37.7%29.8%–46.3% CI
Away FT25.4%18.7%–33.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals44.6%
3+ goals17.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.7%
Away46.9%