Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 20:00
12.3341.0%
X3.5227.1%
22.9931.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWWWLWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Marseille
WWWWWWWWDW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.90
0.60
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.00
Against
4.30
9.10
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.90
0.60
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lens attack

2.10goals per match
Marseille conceded0.70
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.90goals per match
Lens conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.30
9.10
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
28.40
Match total
25.50

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
5.10
On target
5.00
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches475
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%41.9%+0.9 pp
Draw27.1%27.8%+0.7 pp
Away31.9%30.3%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.501.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
2-19.5%
1-29.5%
2-09.1%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.594.53
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=474.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%29.1%–45.5% CI
Draw FT37.7%29.8%–46.3% CI
Away FT25.4%18.7%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals44.6%
3+ goals17.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.7%
Away46.9%