Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 18:00
13.4227.9%
X3.7625.4%
22.0446.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reims
WWDWWWWLDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Lille
LWDLWLDWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.00
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.70
Against
4.50
9.00
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reims attack
1.80goals per matchLille conceded1.00Matchup
Lille attack
1.20goals per matchReims conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.50
9.00
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
22.60
Match total
26.10
Shots
18.20N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
6.10
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%29.6%+1.7 pp
Draw25.4%20.4%-5.0 pp
Away46.7%50.0%+3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS61.2%
Historical average
1.30–1.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.2%
0-39.2%
1-28.2%
2-18.2%
2-06.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.20–5.17
Average total9.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.526.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Draw FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Away FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.95
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals59.1%
3+ goals36.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away63.6%