Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 20:00
12.2342.7%
X3.4028.0%
23.2529.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
DWLDWDLLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Nantes
DLDWDWLLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.90
Against
4.90
9.80
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.50goals per match
Nantes conceded1.20
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.10goals per match
Brest conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.90
9.80
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
25.00
Match total
23.20

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.90
On target
4.40
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches808
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%42.0%-0.7 pp
Draw28.0%28.2%+0.2 pp
Away29.3%29.8%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.481.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-09.5%
2-18.5%
0-17.4%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.40
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=808.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches246
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.6%30.8%–42.8% CI
Draw FT38.2%32.4%–44.4% CI
Away FT25.2%20.2%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away45.1%