Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-05-02 · 20:00
15.3018.0%
X4.3022.2%
21.6059.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
DLWDWWLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Lens
WDDDDLDWWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.40
Against
4.40
11.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.50goals per match
Lens conceded1.10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.40goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.40
11.90
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
23.50
Match total
24.00

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
5.10
On target
5.30
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.0%17.2%-0.8 pp
Draw22.2%23.0%+0.8 pp
Away59.7%59.8%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.022.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-212.6%
1-210.3%
1-18.0%
0-18.0%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.856.44
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.5%
Away52.9%