Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 19:45
11.3172.9%
X5.5117.3%
29.719.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
LWWWDLLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Auxerre
DLLLLDWDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.60
Against
6.60
8.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.80goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.50
Matchup

Auxerre attack

0.90goals per match
Marseille conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.60
8.80
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.60
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
24.00
Match total
24.20

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.90
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches125
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.9%77.6%+4.7 pp
Draw17.3%14.4%-2.9 pp
Away9.8%8.0%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

2.220.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.8%
2-012.8%
2-112.0%
3-08.8%
4-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.382.90
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=125.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.9%50.5%–78.4% CI
Draw FT29.3%17.6%–44.5% CI
Away FT4.9%1.3%–16.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals19.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.6%
Away24.4%