Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 16:05
11.1980.5%
X7.9012.1%
212.997.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWWDWWWLLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Lorient
DDWLLLDDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
3.50
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.30goals per match
Lorient conceded1.90
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.10goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
0.70N=10
3.10
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

7.90N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
19.50
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
6.90
On target
3.40
17%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.5%78.3%-2.2 pp
Draw12.1%17.4%+5.3 pp
Away7.4%4.3%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.552.2%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

3.170.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-013.0%
5-18.7%
1-18.7%
2-18.7%
3-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.833.35
Average total11.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.9%
Over 9.569.6%
Over 10.556.5%
Over 11.539.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.6%28.3%–67.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.2%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.0%
Away52.4%