Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 14:00
14.5720.8%
X3.8824.5%
21.7454.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Troyes
DDDLDLLDDL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Nice
WDLDWWWDDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.90
Against
4.90
10.30
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Troyes attack

0.90goals per match
Nice conceded0.90
Matchup

Nice attack

1.40goals per match
Troyes conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.90
10.30
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.70
Match total
1.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
21.20
Match total
18.40

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.20
On target
5.30
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches187
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.8%18.7%-2.1 pp
Draw24.5%19.8%-4.7 pp
Away54.7%61.5%+6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS46.0%

Historical average

0.921.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-211.2%
0-110.2%
1-29.6%
0-08.0%
1-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.315.75
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=187.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%15.2%–38.2% CI
Draw FT34.6%23.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT40.4%28.2%–53.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.6%
Away51.9%