Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 12:00
11.5063.4%
X4.6420.5%
25.9216.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monaco
WLWWWWLLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Montpellier
LDWLWLWWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.20
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.00
Against
3.70
7.60
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
4.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monaco attack
2.50goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.50Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.00goals per matchMonaco conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
3.70
7.60
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.00
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
25.90
Match total
28.90
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
6.00
On target
3.20
19%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.4%63.5%+0.1 pp
Draw20.5%22.6%+2.1 pp
Away16.1%13.9%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.533.0%
BTTS60.9%
Historical average
2.16–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.5%
1-112.2%
1-08.7%
3-07.8%
2-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.58–3.84
Average total10.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.533.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.5%32.5%–64.8% CI
Draw FT39.4%24.7%–56.3% CI
Away FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.9%
2+ goals57.6%
3+ goals24.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.8%
Away54.5%