Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 12:00
11.5063.4%
X4.6420.5%
25.9216.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WLWWWWLLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Montpellier
LDWLWLWWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.00
Against
3.70
7.60
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
4.00
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.50goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.50
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.00goals per match
Monaco conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
3.70
7.60
Match total
7.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.00
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
25.90
Match total
28.90

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
6.00
On target
3.20
19%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.4%63.5%+0.1 pp
Draw20.5%22.6%+2.1 pp
Away16.1%13.9%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.533.0%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

2.160.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.5%
1-112.2%
1-08.7%
3-07.8%
2-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.583.84
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.5%32.5%–64.8% CI
Draw FT39.4%24.7%–56.3% CI
Away FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.9%
2+ goals57.6%
3+ goals24.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.8%
Away54.5%