Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 16:00
11.2179.0%
X6.4314.9%
215.436.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
DWDWDWWDWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Ajaccio
LDLLWLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.50
Against
4.30
8.60
Total
7.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
2.50
2.90
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
2.00goals per matchAjaccio conceded2.50Matchup
Ajaccio attack
0.70goals per matchLille conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.30
8.60
Match total
7.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
25.70
Match total
29.00
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
6.80
On target
2.10
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.0%93.9%+15.0 pp
Draw14.9%3.0%-11.8 pp
Away6.2%3.0%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS42.4%
Historical average
2.67–0.61
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-018.2%
3-015.2%
3-115.2%
2-112.1%
1-012.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.88–2.52
Average total9.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away10.0%