Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 16:00
11.2179.0%
X6.4314.9%
215.436.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
DWDWDWWDWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Ajaccio
LDLLWLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.50
Against
4.30
8.60
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
2.50
2.90
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lille attack

2.00goals per match
Ajaccio conceded2.50
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.70goals per match
Lille conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.30
8.60
Match total
7.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
25.70
Match total
29.00

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
6.80
On target
2.10
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.0%93.9%+15.0 pp
Draw14.9%3.0%-11.8 pp
Away6.2%3.0%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS42.4%

Historical average

2.670.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.2%
3-015.2%
3-115.2%
2-112.1%
1-012.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.882.52
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away10.0%