Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-28 · 20:00
12.7135.3%
X3.4028.2%
22.6236.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
DDLDLWWLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lyon
LWDWWLWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.70
Against
5.50
7.10
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.70goals per match
Lyon conceded1.10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.90goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.50
7.10
Match total
8.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.00
Match total
28.00

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.70
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches541
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%33.5%-1.9 pp
Draw28.2%26.8%-1.3 pp
Away36.5%39.7%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.261.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-111.8%
1-29.8%
1-09.6%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.83
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=541.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.5%25.0%–38.9% CI
Draw FT32.7%26.1%–40.2% CI
Away FT35.7%28.9%–43.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals39.9%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away58.9%