Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 14:00
12.3340.8%
X3.6226.2%
22.8833.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
LLLDWDWLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Toulouse
LLLWWLLWLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.50
Against
4.60
9.20
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
2.10
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.10goals per match
Toulouse conceded2.10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.50goals per match
Lorient conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.60
9.20
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.10
Match total
2.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.30
Match total
25.60

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.70
On target
4.70
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches270
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%37.8%-3.0 pp
Draw26.2%28.5%+2.3 pp
Away33.0%33.7%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.471.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-210.4%
1-08.1%
2-28.1%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.104.86
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=269.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.5%22.0%–42.9% CI
Draw FT41.1%30.5%–52.6% CI
Away FT27.4%18.5%–38.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away47.9%