Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 14:00
13.2429.4%
X3.0631.1%
22.4139.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajaccio
LWWLLLWLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Brest
WLLDDLLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.60
Against
7.80
7.00
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.70goals per match
Brest conceded1.20
Matchup

Brest attack

0.90goals per match
Ajaccio conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.80
7.00
Match total
11.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
31.60
Match total
26.10

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
2.90
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches121
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.4%29.8%+0.4 pp
Draw31.1%28.1%-3.0 pp
Away39.5%42.1%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.9%
BTTS38.8%

Historical average

0.911.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.5%
1-014.9%
1-111.6%
0-010.7%
0-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.354.77
Average total9.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=121.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.7%
Over 9.538.8%
Over 10.531.4%
Over 11.522.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%21.7%–47.5% CI
Draw FT39.6%27.0%–53.7% CI
Away FT27.1%16.6%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.9%
Away41.7%