Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 16:00
14.7420.1%
X3.9024.4%
21.7255.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Auxerre
DWLLLDWDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lille
WLWDLWLDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.10
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Auxerre attack
0.90goals per matchLille conceded0.90Matchup
Lille attack
1.40goals per matchAuxerre conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.70
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.00
Match total
26.60
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.10
On target
5.50
7%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.1%21.6%+1.5 pp
Draw24.4%22.8%-1.6 pp
Away55.4%55.6%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
0.96–1.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.0%
0-210.5%
1-19.9%
1-29.3%
1-39.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.01–5.85
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%14.3%–37.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%19.1%–43.8% CI
Away FT46.0%33.0%–59.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.0%
Away58.0%