Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 16:00
14.7420.1%
X3.9024.4%
21.7255.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Auxerre
DWLLLDWDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lille
WLWDLWLDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.10
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Auxerre attack

0.90goals per match
Lille conceded0.90
Matchup

Lille attack

1.40goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.70
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.00
Match total
26.60

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.10
On target
5.50
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.1%21.6%+1.5 pp
Draw24.4%22.8%-1.6 pp
Away55.4%55.6%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

0.961.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.0%
0-210.5%
1-19.9%
1-29.3%
1-39.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.015.85
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%14.3%–37.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%19.1%–43.8% CI
Away FT46.0%33.0%–59.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.0%
Away58.0%