Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-21 · 20:00
114.236.7%
X7.4312.9%
21.1980.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Angers
LLLLLDLLDW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Paris SG
DWWLLWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.60
Against
4.90
8.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Angers attack

0.90goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.00
Matchup

Paris SG attack

1.70goals per match
Angers conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.90
8.80
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.70
Match total
2.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.70
Match total
23.30

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.40
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home6.7%4.5%-2.2 pp
Draw12.9%13.6%+0.8 pp
Away80.4%81.8%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.559.1%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

0.552.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-418.2%
0-418.2%
1-313.6%
0-19.1%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

2.597.86
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away69.2%