Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 19:45
11.2178.9%
X6.8813.9%
213.137.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
LLWWWDLLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Troyes
LLLWLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
2.90
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
2.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.20
9.20
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
2.90
3.10
Total goals
4.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.60goals per match
Troyes conceded2.90
Matchup

Troyes attack

1.20goals per match
Marseille conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.20
9.20
Match total
8.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.60
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
25.40
Match total
22.10

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.50
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.9%80.3%+1.4 pp
Draw13.9%15.2%+1.3 pp
Away7.3%4.5%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.537.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.620.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.2%
2-112.1%
1-09.1%
2-09.1%
1-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.242.86
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%36.5%–75.5% CI
Draw FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals42.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.7%
Away47.6%