Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 16:05
11.4068.2%
X5.1318.6%
27.2013.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
DWLWWWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lorient
WDDWLLLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.10
Against
6.00
7.50
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.80
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.30goals per match
Lorient conceded1.70
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.20goals per match
Monaco conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.00
7.50
Match total
10.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
0.70N=10
3.50
Match total
2.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
25.00
Match total
22.50

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.70
On target
3.50
18%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.2%69.0%+0.9 pp
Draw18.6%19.0%+0.4 pp
Away13.3%11.9%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

2.210.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.3%
2-011.9%
3-09.5%
1-07.1%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.123.45
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away42.9%