Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 14:00
11.7753.8%
X3.4127.9%
25.2218.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
LDDLDLWWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Ajaccio
DLDLLWLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.70
Against
4.10
6.90
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
2.30
2.90
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.40goals per match
Ajaccio conceded2.30
Matchup

Ajaccio attack

0.70goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.10
6.90
Match total
7.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.60
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
25.60
Match total
27.90

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
4.20
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches163
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.8%52.1%-1.7 pp
Draw27.9%28.2%+0.3 pp
Away18.2%19.6%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.460.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-013.5%
2-012.9%
2-111.0%
0-010.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.033.58
Average total8.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=163.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.9%
Over 9.538.0%
Over 10.525.2%
Over 11.517.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.1%26.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT38.7%27.6%–51.2% CI
Away FT24.2%15.2%–36.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals8.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away40.3%