Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 14:00
13.1829.9%
X3.2629.2%
22.3340.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
LDWLDWDLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Nice
DWDLDWWWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.20
Against
4.80
10.50
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.50goals per match
Nice conceded0.90
Matchup

Nice attack

1.50goals per match
Brest conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.80
10.50
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.60
Match total
1.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
7.60N=10
24.80
Match total
16.90

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.00
On target
4.90
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches499
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%28.7%-1.3 pp
Draw29.2%25.1%-4.2 pp
Away40.9%46.3%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

0.991.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.0%
1-112.8%
1-011.4%
1-28.8%
0-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.644.95
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=499.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches160
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.1%21.7%–35.5% CI
Draw FT36.3%29.2%–43.9% CI
Away FT35.6%28.6%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.1%
Away52.5%