Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 14:00
13.1829.9%
X3.2629.2%
22.3340.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brest
LDWLDWDLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Nice
DWDLDWWWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.20
Against
4.80
10.50
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brest attack
1.50goals per matchNice conceded0.90Matchup
Nice attack
1.50goals per matchBrest conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.80
10.50
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.60
Match total
1.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
7.60N=10
24.80
Match total
16.90
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.00
On target
4.90
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches499
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%28.7%-1.3 pp
Draw29.2%25.1%-4.2 pp
Away40.9%46.3%+5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS46.1%
Historical average
0.99–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.0%
1-112.8%
1-011.4%
1-28.8%
0-28.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.64–4.95
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=499.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches160
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.1%21.7%–35.5% CI
Draw FT36.3%29.2%–43.9% CI
Away FT35.6%28.6%–43.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.1%
Away52.5%