Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 14:00
12.4838.5%
X3.0831.0%
23.1230.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Auxerre
DDWLLLDWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Nantes
LDLDWDWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
5.00
8.30
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Auxerre attack
0.80goals per matchNantes conceded1.30Matchup
Nantes attack
1.00goals per matchAuxerre conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.00
8.30
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.10
Match total
23.70
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.70
On target
4.00
6%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches480
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%40.6%+2.2 pp
Draw31.0%30.4%-0.6 pp
Away30.6%29.0%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS47.7%
Historical average
1.16–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
1-014.0%
0-011.7%
2-111.3%
0-110.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.01–4.15
Average total9.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=480.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.524.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%27.0%–40.3% CI
Draw FT43.4%36.5%–50.5% CI
Away FT23.3%17.8%–29.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.9%
Away42.3%