Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 14:00
12.4838.5%
X3.0831.0%
23.1230.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Auxerre
DDWLLLDWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Nantes
LDLDWDWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
5.00
8.30
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Auxerre attack

0.80goals per match
Nantes conceded1.30
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.00
8.30
Match total
8.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.10
Match total
23.70

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.70
On target
4.00
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches480
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%40.6%+2.2 pp
Draw31.0%30.4%-0.6 pp
Away30.6%29.0%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.160.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
1-014.0%
0-011.7%
2-111.3%
0-110.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.014.15
Average total9.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=480.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%27.0%–40.3% CI
Draw FT43.4%36.5%–50.5% CI
Away FT23.3%17.8%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.9%
Away42.3%