Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 12:00
11.5262.6%
X4.5321.0%
25.8116.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WDWDWDWWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Montpellier
LLDWLWLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.70
Against
3.30
8.60
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lille attack

2.20goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.40
Matchup

Montpellier attack

0.90goals per match
Lille conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.70
Corners against
3.30
8.60
Match total
7.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
24.10
Match total
27.70

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.80
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches157
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.6%65.6%+3.0 pp
Draw21.0%20.4%-0.6 pp
Away16.4%14.0%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

2.150.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.1%
1-011.5%
1-111.5%
2-08.3%
3-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.483.77
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=157.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.2%39.2%–66.7% CI
Draw FT36.2%24.0%–50.5% CI
Away FT10.6%4.6%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.4%
2+ goals51.1%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.7%
Away46.8%