Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 20:00
13.3928.2%
X3.7925.2%
22.0546.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Toulouse
WDLWDWWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lyon
WLWDWWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.70
Against
5.10
11.60
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
3.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Toulouse attack
1.70goals per matchLyon conceded1.10Matchup
Lyon attack
1.90goals per matchToulouse conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.10
11.60
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
23.80
Match total
28.30
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.20
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%30.9%+2.7 pp
Draw25.2%25.5%+0.2 pp
Away46.6%43.6%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS76.4%
Historical average
1.36–1.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-120.0%
2-110.9%
1-210.9%
2-37.3%
1-37.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.53–4.62
Average total9.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.530.9%
Over 11.523.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away60.0%