Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 20:00
13.3928.2%
X3.7925.2%
22.0546.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
WDLWDWWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lyon
WLWDWWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.70
Against
5.10
11.60
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
3.20
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.70goals per match
Lyon conceded1.10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.90goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.10
11.60
Match total
8.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
23.80
Match total
28.30

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.20
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%30.9%+2.7 pp
Draw25.2%25.5%+0.2 pp
Away46.6%43.6%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS76.4%

Historical average

1.361.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
2-110.9%
1-210.9%
2-37.3%
1-37.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.534.62
Average total9.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.530.9%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away60.0%