Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 19:45
14.8119.8%
X4.2122.6%
21.6557.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
DLLLDWDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Marseille
LDWWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.50
8.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.10
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.10goals per match
Marseille conceded0.90
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.90goals per match
Lorient conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.50
8.70
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.30
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
23.20
Match total
24.80

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.50
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.8%20.6%+0.8 pp
Draw22.6%16.2%-6.4 pp
Away57.6%63.2%+5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.062.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.2%
1-213.2%
0-210.3%
2-18.8%
0-37.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.685.38
Average total9.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.4%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT5.3%0.9%–24.6% CI
Away FT78.9%56.7%–91.5% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.7%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals47.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.8%
Away94.7%