Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 19:45
14.8119.8%
X4.2122.6%
21.6557.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
DLLLDWDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Marseille
LDWWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.50
8.70
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.10
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
1.10goals per matchMarseille conceded0.90Matchup
Marseille attack
1.90goals per matchLorient conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.50
8.70
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.30
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
23.20
Match total
24.80
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.50
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.8%20.6%+0.8 pp
Draw22.6%16.2%-6.4 pp
Away57.6%63.2%+5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS54.4%
Historical average
1.06–2.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.2%
1-213.2%
0-210.3%
2-18.8%
0-37.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.68–5.38
Average total9.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.4%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT5.3%0.9%–24.6% CI
Away FT78.9%56.7%–91.5% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal94.7%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals47.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.8%
Away94.7%