Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 16:05
13.7925.1%
X3.6925.8%
21.9449.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
WDDWDLWLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Monaco
WLWWDDWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.10
1.20
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.90
Against
4.10
10.40
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.10goals per match
Monaco conceded1.20
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.10goals per match
Nantes conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.10
10.40
Match total
8.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.40
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
25.10
Match total
22.40

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.70
On target
5.00
8%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches229
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.1%22.3%-2.9 pp
Draw25.8%27.9%+2.1 pp
Away49.1%49.8%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.041.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.8%
1-110.9%
0-010.5%
0-28.7%
1-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.605.33
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=229.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.4%7.7%–22.4% CI
Draw FT43.9%33.7%–54.7% CI
Away FT42.7%32.5%–53.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.4%
Away57.3%