Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 14:00
11.6258.7%
X4.0523.5%
25.3317.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reims
DWWWDWWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Brest
LWLLDDLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.50
Against
7.90
9.10
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Reims attack

1.90goals per match
Brest conceded1.50
Matchup

Brest attack

0.90goals per match
Reims conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.90
9.10
Match total
11.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.90
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.80
Match total
26.10

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
6.30
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%61.0%+2.3 pp
Draw23.5%23.6%+0.2 pp
Away17.8%15.4%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.980.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-112.6%
1-011.0%
2-010.4%
3-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.413.82
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.545.6%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.7%44.3%–71.7% CI
Draw FT28.3%17.3%–42.5% CI
Away FT13.0%6.1%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.1%
2+ goals54.3%
3+ goals23.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.1%
Away45.7%