Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 14:00
12.0646.2%
X3.6925.8%
23.3928.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
LLDLLLWDWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Toulouse
DLLLWWLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.90
Against
4.60
10.50
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.50goals per match
Toulouse conceded2.10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.40goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.60
10.50
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.70
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
27.60
Match total
24.50

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.90
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches212
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%40.1%-6.1 pp
Draw25.8%30.7%+4.9 pp
Away28.1%29.2%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.536.3%
BTTS60.8%

Historical average

1.621.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
2-19.4%
2-28.5%
0-08.0%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.50
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=212.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.6%19.1%–42.8% CI
Draw FT48.1%35.4%–61.1% CI
Away FT22.2%13.2%–34.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away46.3%