Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 14:00
12.0646.2%
X3.6925.8%
23.3928.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
LLDLLLWDWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Toulouse
DLLLWWLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.90
Against
4.60
10.50
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.50goals per matchToulouse conceded2.10Matchup
Toulouse attack
1.40goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.60
10.50
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.70
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
27.60
Match total
24.50
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.90
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches212
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%40.1%-6.1 pp
Draw25.8%30.7%+4.9 pp
Away28.1%29.2%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.536.3%
BTTS60.8%
Historical average
1.62–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.7%
2-19.4%
2-28.5%
0-08.0%
1-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.45–4.50
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=212.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.530.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.6%19.1%–42.8% CI
Draw FT48.1%35.4%–61.1% CI
Away FT22.2%13.2%–34.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.7%
Away46.3%