Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 20:00
13.8424.9%
X3.9724.1%
21.8751.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
WDWDWWWDDD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Paris SG
WDWWLLWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
0.60
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.80
Against
4.20
9.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.70goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.00
Matchup

Paris SG attack

1.60goals per match
Nice conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.20
9.60
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.90
Match total
2.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.00
Match total
24.10

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.10
On target
5.70
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches122
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.9%26.2%+1.4 pp
Draw24.1%15.6%-8.5 pp
Away51.1%58.2%+7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.536.9%
BTTS62.3%

Historical average

1.251.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.2%
2-37.4%
1-07.4%
1-17.4%
0-26.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.155.62
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=122.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%15.0%–42.0% CI
Draw FT28.9%17.0%–44.8% CI
Away FT44.7%30.1%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals28.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away63.2%