Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 20:00
11.5362.3%
X4.2422.5%
26.2915.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWWWWWLWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Strasbourg
WDLLWLLDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.60
0.50
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.20
1.30
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
9.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.50
Goals conceded
2.30
2.30
Total goals
3.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.80goals per match
Strasbourg conceded2.30
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.60goals per match
Lens conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
9.60
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
28.10
Match total
27.70

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.50
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches235
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%57.0%-5.3 pp
Draw22.5%26.8%+4.3 pp
Away15.2%16.2%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS46.0%

Historical average

1.710.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.3%
1-113.6%
2-011.9%
0-17.2%
3-16.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.60
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=235.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches75
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.3%34.6%–56.6% CI
Draw FT32.0%22.5%–43.2% CI
Away FT22.7%14.7%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals29.3%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.7%
Away40.0%