Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 20:00
11.5362.3%
X4.2422.5%
26.2915.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lens
WWWWWWLWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Strasbourg
WDLLWLLDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.60
0.50
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
2.20
1.30
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
9.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.50
Goals conceded
2.30
2.30
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lens attack
1.80goals per matchStrasbourg conceded2.30Matchup
Strasbourg attack
1.60goals per matchLens conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
9.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
28.10
Match total
27.70
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.50
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches235
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%57.0%-5.3 pp
Draw22.5%26.8%+4.3 pp
Away15.2%16.2%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS46.0%
Historical average
1.71–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.3%
1-113.6%
2-011.9%
0-17.2%
3-16.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.27–3.60
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=235.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.534.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches75
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.3%34.6%–56.6% CI
Draw FT32.0%22.5%–43.2% CI
Away FT22.7%14.7%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals29.3%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.7%
Away40.0%