Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 19:45
11.4267.0%
X5.0818.7%
26.6614.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WWWWWDWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Lyon
LWLWDWWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
2.00
1.30
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
2.20
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.70
9.40
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
2.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.80
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.50goals per matchLyon conceded1.40Matchup
Lyon attack
2.00goals per matchParis SG conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.70
9.40
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.90
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.50N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
19.50
Match total
28.40
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
7.60
On target
5.70
17%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.0%78.8%+11.8 pp
Draw18.7%13.8%-5.0 pp
Away14.3%7.5%-6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
2.54–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-012.5%
2-112.5%
3-010.0%
3-110.0%
1-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.25–3.39
Average total9.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.92
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away33.3%