Ligue 1 · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 14:00
12.1145.2%
X3.2029.8%
23.8324.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Clermont
WLDLWDLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Ajaccio
WDLDLLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.80
Against
4.70
7.80
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
2.20
2.40
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Clermont attack
0.70goals per matchAjaccio conceded2.20Matchup
Ajaccio attack
0.80goals per matchClermont conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.70
7.80
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.70
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
29.10
Match total
27.70
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
4.20
On target
2.60
7%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.2%45.8%+0.6 pp
Draw29.8%30.8%+1.0 pp
Away24.9%23.4%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.517.8%
BTTS41.1%
Historical average
1.32–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
1-014.0%
0-013.6%
2-011.2%
0-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–4.15
Average total9.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.525.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches89
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%26.8%–46.3% CI
Draw FT43.8%34.0%–54.2% CI
Away FT20.2%13.2%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.4%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals7.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.6%
Away34.8%